Kentaro FUKUMOTO's Home Page

Professor, Department of Political Studies, Faculty of Law, Gakushuin University

Japanese

Curriculum Vitae
Contact

Published
Replication
Fukumoto, Kentaro. 2015. "What Happens Depends on When It Happens: Copula-based Ordered Event History Analysis of Civil War Duration and Outcome." Journal of American Statistical Association 110 (509): 83-92. [submission version][publisher's website]
Fukumoto, Kentaro, and Akitaka Matsuo. forthcoming. "The Effects of Election Proximity on Participatory Shirking: The Staggered-Term Chamber as a Laboratory." Legislative Studies Quarterly.
Fukumoto, Kentaro, and Mikitaka Masuyama. 2015. "Measuring Judicial Independence Reconsidered: Survival Analysis, Matching, and Average Treatment Effects" Japanese Journal of Political Science 16 (1): 33-51.
Fukumoto, Kentaro (Guest Editor). 2015. "Introduction to Special Issue: Who Does or Does Not Respond to Whom or What in a Democracy? The Case of Japan" Japanese Journal of Political Science 16 (1): 1-4.
Fukumoto, Kentaro, and Yusaku Horiuchi. 2011. "Making Outsiders' Votes Count: Detecting Electoral Fraud through a Natural Experiment." American Political Science Review 105 (3): 586-603.
Fukumoto, Kentaro. 2009. "Systematically Dependent Competing Risks and Strategic Retirement." American Journal of Political Science 53 (3): 740-59. [replication website][publisher's website]
Fukumoto, Kentaro. 2008. "Legislative Production in Comparative Perspective: Cross Sectional Study of 42 Countries and Time-Series Analysis of the Japan Case" Japanese Journal of Political Science. (Vol. 9, Issue 1, 1-19)[replication website]
Book review, The State of Civil Society in Japan. Edited by Frank J. Schwartz and Susan J. Pharr. Journal of East Asian Studies, 6(1): 313-15 (2006)
"Breaking through Viscosity: The Three Modes of Conflict in the Diet,1947-1996," Social Science Japan , No. 13 , August 1998, pp. 26-28

Conference Papers
"A Bayesian View of Party Systems" Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the the American Political Science Association, Seattle, WA, USA, September 1 - 4, 2011.
"Treated Politicians, Treated Voters: A Natural Experiment to Estimate Electoral Effects on Fiscal Expenditure" (with Yusaku Horiuchi and Shoichiro Tanaka) Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the the American Political Science Association, Seattle, WA, USA, September 1 - 4, 2011.
"A Bayesian View of Party Systems" Paper prepared for the 28th Annual Summer Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, Princeton University, Princeton, July 28-30, 2011.
Discussion on Wand, Jonathan "Tests Using Shape Constrained Inference." the 28th Annual Summer Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, Princeton University, Princeton, July 28-30, 2011.
"A Bayesian View of Party Systems" Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, March 31 - April 3, 2011.
"Treated Politicians, Treated Voters: A Natural Experiment to Estimate Electoral Effects on Fiscal Expenditure" (with Yusaku Horiuchi and Shoichiro Tanaka) Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, March 31 - April 3, 2011.
" Mobilization and Participation: A Natural Experiment, " Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 2-5, 2009.(with Yusaku Horiuchi)
" Easy Issue for Me, Hard Issue for Them: Field Experiment in Large Social Survey, " Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Boston, MA, August 28 - 31, 2008. (with Kazumi Shimizu, Yuko Morimoto and Motoki Watabe)
" Why Do Bicameral Chambers Usually, but Not Always, Agree? An Incomplete Information Game Model, " Ver. 2: Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 3-6, 2008; Ver. 1: Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, August 30 - September 2, 2007. (supported by the JPSA - APSA exchange program)
" Why Unsafe at Any Margin? Incumbency Advantage and Vulnerability, " Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 3-6, 2008.
" Bayesian Estimation of Incumbency Advantage and Campaign Spending Effect without Simultaneity Bias, " Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 12-15, 2007.
" Heterogeneity Foundation of Discretion: Legislation, Execution, and Judgment, " Paper prepared for presentation at the first world meetings of the Public Choice Society, Amsterdam, Netherland, March 29 - April 1, 2007.
" A Hierarchy of Citizenship: Identity Politics of Suffrage Extension and Welfare Development, The U.S. and Japan, " Paper presented at the Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies, Cologne, Germany, April 3, 2007.
" Judging Political Promotion of Judges: Survival Analysis, Split Population Model and Matching Method," Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association , Philadelphia, PA, USA, August 31 - Sept. 3, 2006. (with Mikitaka Masuyama)
" Estimating Incumbency Advantage and Campaign Spending Effect without the Simultaneity Bias: Strategic Incumbents, Challengers, and Contributors, " Paper prepared for the 23rd Annual Summer Methodology Conference, University of California, Davis, July 20-22, 2006.
" Heterogeneity Foundation of Discretion: Legislation, Execution, and Judgment, " Paper presented at the World Congress of the International Political Science Association, Fukuoka, Japan, July 9-14, 2006.
" A Bayesian Analysis of Time-Series Event Count Data, " Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 20-23, 2006.
" The Effect of Position on Reelection and Promotion of Legislators, " Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 20-23, 2006. (with Masahiko Tatebayashi)
" Survival Analysis of Systematically Dependent Competing Risks: An Application to the U.S. Congressional Careers, " Paper for poster session at the 22nd Annual Summer Meeting of the Society for Political Methodology, Tallahassee, FL, USA, July 21-23, 2005
" The Double Beta Model for Proportion Data Composed of Heterogeneous Binary Responses, " Term paper for Government 2000 (Introduction to Quantitative Methods II by Jasjeet Sekhon), Harvard University, June 2, 2005.
" Decreasing Electoral Risk and Strategic Retirement to Avoid Losing Election: Survival Analysis of Legislators' (Political) Life at Systematically Dependent Competing Risks " Paper presented at the annual meeting of the Midwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 7-10, 2005.Nominated for the Robert H. Durr Award for the "best paper applying quantitative methods to a substantive problem in political science".
" Why So Volatile an Approval Rate Is? Citizen's Contagion, Short Memory, and Preference, " Paper prepared for the Research Workshop in Political Economy (Gov. 3007), Harvard University, December 13, 2004.
" Taking Bounded Variables Seriously: Extended Beta Binomial, Asymmetric Logit, and Time Series, " Paper prepared for the Research Workshop in Applied Statistics (Gov. 3009), Harvard University, November 17, 2004
"Stable Policy Outcome under New Circumstances: Inter-chamber Coordination in the Japanese Diet in the 1990s," Paper prepared for the Western Conference of the Association for Asian Studies, Seattle, September 30 - October 2, 2004 (with Satoshi Machidori)
" How do Separated Powers Unify Separated Purposes?," Paper prepared for the Sixth Workshop of Parliamentary Scholars and Parliamentarians, Wroxton College, Oxfordshire, UK, July 31-August 1, 2004 (with Satoshi Machidori)
"A Hierarchy of Citizenship: Identity Politics of Suffrage Extension and Welfare Development," Program on U.S.-Japan Relations, Harvard University, Occasional Paper 04-03, 2004
" How Many Laws does the Legislature Make? Cross Country Comparison and Cointegrated Time Series of Japan," prepared for the Annual Meeting of the MIdwest Political Science Association, Chicago, IL, USA, April 15-8, 2004.
"Bicameralism in Japan: Are the Two Houses Really Different and Why?" prepared for the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association , Boston, MA, USA, August 29 - September 1, 2002.
"The One-party dominant regime in the Legislature was not built in a Day: Institutionalization of the Japanese Diet from 1947-2000 determined using the Individual Government Bills Database ," delivered at the 73rd Annual Meeting of the Southern Political Science Association , Atlanta, GA, USA, November 7-10, 2001
"Japanese Legislative Process," and "The Organization of the Secretariat of the Houses: Japanese Model," delivered at the Seminar on The Reform of the Thai Legilative Process, held by the King Prajadhipok's Institute, Bangkok, Thailand, September 17-18, 1999

English Book Review on my Politics in the Japanese Diet: A Statistical Analysis of Postwar Government Legislation, University of Tokyo Press, 2000 (Japanese)

Japanese Journal of Political Science, Vol. 3, Part 1, pp. 144-47, by Okiyoshi Takeda
Waseda Journal of Asian Studies, Vol. 22, pp. 69-71, by Takashi Yoshino